Wednesday, August 27, 2014

Not a Wave

Ed Kilgore is very correct here.

"There are a lot of close gubernatorial races out there (Cook Political Report's Jennifer Duffy rates ten of them as toss-ups), so you'd think if there was any genuine GOP "wave" underway we'd see it in these contests. More likely, the perception of a "wave" is mainly the product of a crazily pro-GOP Senate landscape."

Similarly, generic ballot numbers show a small and steady Democratic edge. If the Senate races weren't being fought in so many red states, no one would be talking about a wave.

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